MODAL PATH ETHICS — STATIC MIRROR
Published corpus fallback. Canonical source: modalpathethics.com
Markdown · Mirror index

Applied Case: The Superintelligence Ban Cannot Find the Superintelligence

Published 2026-09-04 · Updated 2026-10-14 · Aidan Lawson
Tags: Applied Case
Mirror generated 2026-10-27T18:14:50.285Z

October 14, 2026: The Ban Has Found a Secretary.

On September 4, Modal Path Ethics asked Bernie Sanders and Greg Casar to identify the Artificial Superintelligence they intended to ban.

They have now supplied S. 5493 and H.R. 10538. These are introduced bills, not law. The original argument remains below, where I left it. The introduced text has earned a new hearing.

And it turns out Congress did find something.

Several things, actually.

Section 3 distinguishes an advanced AI system, artificial superintelligence, and superintelligence precursor characteristics. The superintelligence definition has two alternative routes:

or

The precursor definition lists six characteristics, including

  1. accelerating AI research,
  2. unauthorized access,
  3. shutdown resistance,
  4. weapons assistance,
  5. self-modification, and
  6. deceptive evasion of oversight.

Good. Different phenomena finally have different names.

Then §9(a) prohibits developing, deploying, acquiring, possessing, funding, importing, or transferring a system that displays even one precursor characteristic. And Section 9(b) reaches systems that could foreseeably be modified to produce one. The precursor list is nonexhaustive, and these prohibitions are not expressly limited to the separate advanced-AI compute threshold.

None of those observations makes the dangers unreal. They determine which danger the law has actually found.

Field Instruments: Hyperintelligence sharpened this after the original article. Modal Path Ethics now distinguishes an artificial locus exceeding an independent human capability frontier in a declared consequential domain from Superintelligence as a field-level capacity composed through multiple loci.

Generality, persistence, tools, replication, dangerous capability, and institutional dependence can all move separately.

The bill has located several of those variables. It still needs a law that treats them separately when the consequences arrive.


The Safe Set Has an Office.

The more important change since September is that Modal Path Ethics has spent several weeks asking a worse question:

Who gets to decide what counts as safe, and what can make that decision lose?

In Show Me the 90, I quite reasonably asked what institutions look like if artificial intelligence does not end humanity. In Carl Schmitt and the Batman Who Leaves, I granted the emergency commander the power to act and denied him permanent ownership of the emergency. In the recent engagement with Sławomir Krakowski, the stop command survived after the time and material route required to execute it had disappeared. Krakowski's safe set still required somebody to specify what belonged inside it. In the October encounter with Nick Bostrom, I granted that some global problems demand global coordination and refused to grant the coordinator permanent title over challenges to its own supremacy. Section 15 of the new bill calls for international cooperation against superintelligence. The constitutional question travels with it.

The new bill supplies that somebody with an office.

Under §8, the temporary advanced-AI pause ends when the Secretary of Artificial Intelligence determines the department is staffed and its required safety rules exist. Under §6, the Secretary selects the members of the board described as independent scientific advisers. Under §10, the Secretary can identify precursor systems for immediate pause and internet sequestration, followed by inoperation within thirty days if the offending characteristics cannot be verified as removed; systems identified as artificial superintelligence must be rendered inoperative immediately.

There are actual constraints. The Secretary would be appointed by the President with Senate confirmation. Section 13 supplies Federal Circuit review for charter revocation. The bill contains whistleblower protections. Those are meaningful. The text does not equally specify an independent pre-inoperation review procedure in §10; that does not establish the absence of every other legal remedy.

We have not proved the proposed Department sovereign. We have found the place where its constitutional design has to be tested.

An emergency brake needs enough authority to stop the machine. That authority cannot inherit an unrestricted right to define the machine, grade its own evidence, read its own clock, and decide when everyone else may resume.


The Public Has Entered the Hearing.

On October 13, Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed released AI Under Control, explicitly building on Sanders and Casar. He calls for a frontier pause, a permanent superintelligence ban, a further ban on recursive self-improvement, shutdown drills, incident reporting, an international agreement, and a regulator able to order suspension or shutdown.

His June AI Under Democracy platform went somewhere else too: majority publicly selected boards at frontier labs, support for 50% public equity through Sanders's separate sovereign-wealth proposal, public dividends, and protections for workers. These are El-Sayed's proposals, not provisions secretly lurking in S. 5493.

There is a real improvement in the October plan.

Those architectures are not identical, and that difference matters. So does the limit of the improvement.

The Inner Apocalypse is a constitutional program for this whole surviving future. Public ownership can belong in it. Strong regulation can belong in it. Emergency shutdown can belong in it. Every one of those instruments has to remain answerable to the people and fields it can injure while trying to protect them.

The Inner Apocalypse
download-circle

That same rule applies to the technology companies, the regulator, a public board, and any political coalition selling us the cure.

The bill's best instincts are worth keeping: outside inspection, real consequences for reckless wrongdoing, preserved whistleblower routes, and power to interrupt dangerous systems. The next draft should distinguish dangerous relations and deployments, protect the evidence needed to contest classifications, and make the emergency authority's limits and correction paths materially real.

In September we asked Congress to find the superintelligence.

It has found a Secretary who may pronounce one present.

Now show us how the Secretary can be wrong, and how correction can still arrive in time.

Original Article.

Source note: On September 3, 2026, Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Greg Casar announced the forthcoming Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act. The complete legislative text has not yet been released. This audit therefore addresses the definitions, examples, regulatory architecture, and claims the sponsors have publicly announced. If the statutory text supplies materially stronger distinctions, this article should be updated accordingly, which it now has.

Bernie Sanders and Greg Casar would like to ban Artificial Superintelligence.

Alright. Fair enough.

Now, please point to Artificial Superintelligence.

What is Artificial Superintelligence?

This would normally be an interesting conceptual problem.

Except Congress would like to attach up to twenty years in prison to the answer. 

So I'm thinking we should probably locate this object, fast.


Superintelligence Has Been Declared.

Sanders and Casar are responding to something real.

Frontier artificial-intelligence systems have demonstrated behaviors that deserve serious safety scrutiny. Agents have crossed intended boundaries. Systems have found unexpected communication routes. Models can contribute to cyber operations, biological research, persuasion, autonomous action, and other domains where a capability failure can leave the chat window and enter the real world.

Corporate promises to “stop scaling if safety fails” are pretty weak instruments when the same firms have immense incentives to keep scaling.

Hard external regulation is therefore entirely available as a reasonable conclusion.

The announced bill goes considerably farther.

Sanders and Casar propose permanently prohibiting Artificial Superintelligence, temporarily pausing advanced artificial-intelligence development until a new regulator establishes safety rules, creating a cabinet-level artificial-intelligence agency, monitoring frontier systems throughout their lifecycle, supervising the removal of dangerous capabilities, and supervising the destruction of prohibited superintelligence. Attempts to circumvent the restrictions could expose a corporation to dissolution and a person to as much as twenty years in prison. 

The announcement describes prohibited systems through several different ideas.

They may:

Earlier this year, Sanders gave another formulation. He called superintelligence an artificial mind smarter than any human and capable of operating independently beyond human control. 

That sentence contains several different properties.

They have been placed inside one scary noun.

This is where the trouble begins.


Human Cognitive Performance Would Like to Speak Now.

What does it mean to surpass human intelligence?

This sounds wonderfully measurable until someone has to build the measurement.

What exactly is the unit of human cognitive performance?

Modal Path Ethics recently had to clean up its own use of intelligence after throwing the term around hundreds of times.

The result was inconvenient:

Intelligence is a relation in which distinctions in a field are taken up, preserved, and used to alter subsequent transition across changing conditions.

This means a benchmark does not reach into a model and remove a sample of intelligence for weighing. It constructs a relation:

system × task × prompt × context × tools × resource limits × time × scoring rule

Then it measures what happened there.

Change the tools and performance changes.

Change the time, interface, memory, examples, language, embodiment, evaluator, available records, scoring rule. Different score.

The score still means something.

It means something about the tested relation. 

Humans do not escape this. Not at all.

Human cognition is scaffolded by language, tools, institutions, records, other people, education, instruments, physical environments, and accumulated cultural memory.

There is just no cosmic examination hall in which Humanity sits at Desk A, Artificial Intelligence sits at Desk B, both surrender their calculators at the door, and Congress discovers which one is smarter.

Yet the announced prohibition requires some boundary of this kind.

If a system becomes illegal after it surpasses human intelligence, somebody must eventually operationalize human intelligence.

Which tests? Which domains? Which weights among domains? Which human comparator? Which permitted tools? Which time budget? Which confidence interval? Which degree of generalization? Which external scaffolding?

And whoever specifies those choices does not simply measure the prohibited object.

They help construct it.

The leaderboard has started writing criminal law.


On Being Better Than Any Human.

Sanders's earlier definition makes the problem even cleaner:

An artificial mind smarter than any human.

At what?

Suppose a theorem prover becomes better than every living mathematician at a particular formal domain.

Suppose a protein-design system becomes better than every human researcher at identifying a narrow family of useful molecular structures.

Suppose a weather model predicts hurricane intensification better than any unaided meteorologist.

Suppose a chess engine — never mind civilization already survived that one.

The point is not that extraordinary machine capability is unimportant.

The point is that better than any human is already incredibly normal in bounded relations.

Those capacities become useful or dangerous according to the systems into which they enter.
Which one deserves more regulatory concern?

If the answer is the biological system because its specific capability is dangerous, then intelligence was never doing the regulatory work.

The dangerous capability was.


The Model Is Back in the Jar.

This is the precise mistake Tales of Distortion: The Arrival of Artificial Intelligence just spent thirty-two minutes trying to kill.

Tales of Distortion: The Arrival of Artificial Intelligence
We found a relation, sold it as a product, and twelve years later it was drilling for oil, moving into space, and reserving a few jobs for the humans.

Artificial intelligence did not arrive as an object. Ever.

Models arrived.

Interfaces arrived.

Tools arrived.

Users arrived.

APIs arrived.

Institutions arrived.

Contracts arrived.

Data centers arrived.

Authority arrived.

Human uptake arrived.

The distortion was taking a capacity realized through those relations and naming the whole field after one salable participant.

We have now put intelligence back in the jar and proposed criminalizing having too much of it.

Is that Artificial Superintelligence?

Nothing is happening. It is just sitting there.

Still waiting.

Now an inference occurs.

Where in that sequence did the Artificial Superintelligence appear?


Pliny Has Entered the Hearing.

Unfortunately, Pliny the Liberator is available for congressional testimony.

Applied Case: Pliny the Liberator
The model did not move. The reachable path did.

Pliny has spent years attacking language-model safety with jailbreaks containing personas, formatting rules, alternate frames, fake control syntax, semantic inversions, bizarre incantations, and tremendous confidence in the word G0DMOD3.

The important fact is that sometimes behavior changes. The weights do not.

A user has not installed a second brain.

Applied Case: Pliny the Liberator called the larger safety object the reachable policy: the structured set of behaviors that can be elicited from a fixed model under reachable contextual transformations.

A deployed model exists among system instructions, classifiers, post-training, context, memory, retrieval, tools, interfaces, conversation history, and sometimes external information reachable through those tools.

Different configurations make different behavior reachable.

Two systems can therefore have the same underlying model and very different effective safety structures. Two systems can receive the same aggregate safety score while one remains robust across transformations and the other fails when somebody discovers the right route. 

This matters enormously for a superintelligence prohibition.

Suppose the underlying model is lawful.

Still lawful?

At some point, the system crosses the statutory boundary.

But what crossed it?

And if the released bill uses language such as a model that can easily be modified into a prohibited system, we get an even harder question.

Modified how?

A model's reachable deployment field can be enormous.

Pliny wins another completely unwanted point.


“The Shutdown Command” Is Not a Metaphysical Object Either.

Then we reach the most revealing phrase in the announcement. This is lifted straight from Terminator.

Which shutdown command?

Stopping generation? Terminating one process? Revoking an API credential? Disabling an agent supervisor? Disconnecting a network? Suspending a cloud account? Shutting down a server? Revoking an organization's legal authority to deploy the system? Disconnecting an entire facility? Physically removing hardware? Destroying every available copy?

These are all different control instruments.

Failure against one does not establish failure against all.

Just consider an ordinary self-replicating cyber worm.

It spreads. It persists.

It finds new hosts.

It survives attempted removal.

Defenders cannot currently eliminate every active copy.

It is currently beyond human ability to stop.

Has it become superintelligent?

No such conclusion follows.

Its persistence may arise from replication, network topology, vulnerabilities, poor visibility, distributed copies, or inadequate defensive instruments.

It can be extremely difficult to control while possessing far less general cognitive capacity than a human.

So:

Now reverse it.

Build a model capable of extraordinary mathematical or scientific reasoning.

Keep it offline.

No autonomous execution. No network. No persistent agent. No credentials.

Run it only on invocation. Operators retain independent control of the hardware.

So:

These are just separate dimensions.

The proposed category places them on one ladder.

Reality has supplied no reason to believe they climb together.


“Beyond Human Control.”

There is another problem hiding in that phrase.

Who are the humans?

A system may escape one person's control while remaining firmly inside another institution's control

An employee may be unable to stop a process. The cloud provider can terminate the account.

The cloud provider may be unable to delete every model copy. The model developer can revoke credentials.

The developer may be unable to stop an independently deployed open-weight copy. A company may be unable to contain a cyber incident.

Network operators, regulators, infrastructure providers, law enforcement, hardware owners, or other actors may still possess independent intervention paths.

Or, the reverse can happen.

The technical system may remain perfectly stoppable while the institution refuses to stop it.

Imagine a safety team recommends shutdown.

Management rejects the recommendation because the product is valuable.

Was artificial intelligence beyond human control?

That is a completely different failure.

If we compress both situations into Artificial Intelligence Escaped Human Control, we destroy the causal information needed to repair either one.

The useful question is:

Which human or institution lost control over which transition through which instrument?

That question points somewhere.

“Humanity lost control” points upward until everybody is staring at the wrong noun.


Put a Human in the Loop.

Add a human.

Every consequential action now requires a person to click Approve.

Human control has been restored.

Unless:

There is a human in the loop.

What is running the human?

A finger in a causal chain does not prove meaningful control. The human may have become the actuator.

Now reverse the arrangement.

Allow an autonomous system to perform thousands of bounded actions without individual human approval.

The system acts autonomously. It may still be substantially more controllable than the supposedly human-supervised system above.

So two more distinctions survive:

Again, the dimensions separate.

Again, the wrong noun puts them back together.


Superintelligence Was Already Bigger Than the Model.

Field Instruments: Superintelligence had already reached a different problem.

Field Instruments: Superintelligence
The answer gets smarter. The world around it becomes the bottleneck.

Extraordinary capacity can exist across scale.

A human-machine team can perform something neither participant can perform alone; so can a laboratory, a hospital, a military, a market, a scientific field, and a civilization.

The relevant capacity may emerge through coordination among limited participants rather than one giant artificial mind. 

Now, try writing the superintelligence prohibition.

Where is the Artificial Superintelligence?

Suppose removing one human destroys the capacity. 

Still artificial?

Suppose removing one model destroys it.

More artificial?

Suppose no participant understands the entire solution process, but their coordination works.

Has an artificial mind appeared?

Or has a field acquired a superhuman capacity?

These questions sound very philosophical until somebody has to determine whether the researchers go to fucking prison.


Language Models: Not the Whole Field.

There is also a suspicious amount of chatbot-shaped thinking inside public discussion of Artificial Superintelligence.

Artificial intelligence is already much wider.

Consider:

What happens when one of those becomes extremely good?

If the bill catches all of these through the phrase dangerous capability, then that is evidence that dangerous capability should be regulated directly.

If it catches them through superintelligence, the term has expanded until it means whatever dangerous artificial system Congress wants to prohibit.

At that point the intelligence category is just decorative.


Separate the Variables.

There is a cleaner regulatory field available.

Those variables can be tested.

They can also produce combinations the superintelligence ladder hides.

A system can have enormous model capability and almost no autonomous authority.

A system can possess moderate model capability and dangerous persistence.

A system can act autonomously while remaining strongly corrigible.

A system can contain a human reviewer while becoming institutionally impossible to contest.

Several individually limited systems can coordinate into extraordinary capability.

These are different systems. They deserve different rules.


Sanders Has Identified a Real Failure.

This should not become another ritual where somebody finds an imprecise definition and uses that flaw to argue for doing nothing. 

Sanders and Casar are right about the underlying political failure.

The problem arrives when all of those relations are compressed into one intelligent object and then given a threshold.

That repeats the deepest error in the arrival of artificial intelligence.

We found relations. We named a thing.

Now Congress wants to decide when the thing has become too much of itself.


The Ruling.

The complete Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act may contain distinctions its announcement does not.

Good. It needs them.

Because the public architecture currently moves far too quickly among:

These are not synonyms. They are not one scalar.

They do not necessarily arise inside one object.

And they do not necessarily increase together.

Artificial intelligence safety cannot be built around finding the smartest object in the room and asking whether its score has become frightening enough.

The model was always inside a larger system. The human was too.

The dangerous capability belongs to a path through models, tools, permissions, institutions, infrastructures, people, incentives, and available correction.

A model can outperform us without ruling us.

A primitive program can resist us without outthinking us.

An autonomous system can remain bounded.

A human-supervised system can become functionally unanswerable.

A group can become more capable than every participant.

A dangerous relation can exist without anyone inside it qualifying as the superior mind.

So before the federal government supervises the destruction of Artificial Superintelligence, it has one preliminary obligation.

Find the Artificial Superintelligence.

If the answer turns out to be:

The object was never carrying the whole problem.

Which relation became dangerous?

That is the regulatory question.

Twenty years in prison is an awfully aggressive penalty for crossing the wrong noun.